A Predictive Model of Quarterback Success in the NFL

Cleveland Sports Economics

Photo Credit: Keith Allison via Flickr Creative Commons

This is Part III of a three-part series (Part I, Part II).


The NFL rookie quarterback class of 2016 has fan bases around the country with a long list of questions:

  • Los Angeles: Is Jared Goff already a bust?
  • Philadelphia: Can Carson Wentz be a franchise quarterback?
  • Dallas: Will Dak Prescott be an all-time great?

While those three franchises head into the 2017 season with their starting QB set in stone, the Week 1 starter for the Cleveland Browns remains an open question. That’s because most of us in Cleveland remain unsure about the following question:

  • Cleveland: Can Cody Kessler be a playoff-caliber starting quarterback in the NFL?

This last question has motivated this three-part series on Kessler. But the historical perspective offered in Part I and the most likely career comparables provided in Part II only indirectly…

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