“The Needle in the Haystack”: Pat Frank’s Devastating Expose of Climate Model Error

Watts Up With That?

Screenshot from Pat Frank's video, showing James Hansen's climate scenarios with calculated uncertainty. Screenshot from Pat Frank’s video, showing James Hansen’s climate scenarios with calculated uncertainty.

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

h/t Janice – This video dates back to July, so it might not be news for some viewers. But the video elucidates in clear and simple terms why climate model error is actually far worse than those pretty spreads provided by the IPCC. I thoroughly recommend watching the video to anyone keen to understand why climate models are so bad at prediction.

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Lame Duck EPA Chief : “Trump can’t halt U.S. shift to clean energy”… While the Swamp Draining Gets Underway

Watts Up With That?

Guest post by David Middleton

Much of the sarcasm in this post, as well as some of the material, was borrowed from previous posts of mine.

epadelusions

At first glance, I thought she was flipping the bird at the camera.

Energy and Environment

EPA chief: Trump can’t halt U.S. shift to clean energy

By Brady Dennis November 21

The head of the Environmental Protection Agency on Monday gave an impassioned defense of the Obama administration’s energy and environmental policies and insisted the nation’s shift from fossil fuels will continue no matter who occupies the White House.

“The inevitability of our clean energy future is bigger than any one person or one nation,” Administrator Gina McCarthy said in a speech at the National Press Club that was twice interrupted by protesters.

[…]

“Science tells us that there is no bigger threat to American progress and prosperity than the threat of global climate…

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The UN Poll Redux

Watts Up With That?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

A while back I discussed the UN Global Poll regarding what people around the world think is important to them. At that point there were about six million respondents. The people taking the poll are asked to choose (just choose, but not rank) the six issues that matter most to them from the following list:

BETTER JOB OPPORTUNITIES

FREEDOM FROM DISCRIMINATION AND PERSECUTION

ACTION TAKEN ON CLIMATE CHANGE

SUPPORT FOR PEOPLE WHO CAN’T WORK

ACCESS TO CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION

PROTECTING FORESTS, RIVERS AND OCEANS

RELIABLE ENERGY AT HOME

AFFORDABLE AND NUTRITIOUS FOOD

AN HONEST AND RESPONSIVE GOVERNMENT

A GOOD EDUCATION

EQUALITY BETWEEN MEN AND WOMEN

PHONE AND INTERNET ACCESS

POLITICAL FREEDOMS

BETTER TRANSPORT AND ROADS

PROTECTION AGAINST CRIME AND VIOLENCE

BETTER HEALTHCARE

When I wrote my last post, climate change was running dead last. I went back yesterday to check on the poll. The poll…

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The Destruction of Huma Abedin’s Emails on the Clinton Server and their Surprise Recovery

Climate Audit

Despite extraordinarily intense coverage of all aspects of Hillary Clinton’s emails, all commentary to date (to my knowledge), even the underlying FBI Report, has paid little to no attention to the destruction of Huma Abedin’s emails, also stored on the Clinton server.  Further, even with the greatly increased interest in Huma’s emails arising from the discoveries on Anthony Weiner’s laptop, speculation has mostly focused on the potential connection to deleted Hillary emails, rather than the potentially much larger tranche of deleted Huma emails from the Clinton server (many of which would, in all probability, be connected to Hillary in any event.)

Both Hillary and Huma had clintonemail accounts. Huma was unique in that respect among Hillary’s coterie. (Chelsea Clinton, under the pseudonym of Diane Reynolds, was the only other person with a clintonemail address.)

The wiping and bleaching of the Clinton server and backups can be conclusively dated to late…

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Possible mechanism of abrupt jump in winter surface air temperature in the late 1980s over the Northern Hemisphere

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

image

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023864/pdf

I have often alluded to an apparent shift change in UK temperatures in the late 1980s, something which also seems to have happened in other parts of NW Europe.

It was with interest then that my attention was drawn to the above paper, which found the same phenomena in winter temperatures, not only in the UK, but also all over the Northern Hemisphere and attempted to explain it.

Here is the Abstract:

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The authors point out that many other studies have found the same abrupt winter climate change, and have all offered various theories.

The study uses examples at Seoul, Tokyo and Beijing to highlight the size of this shift:

image

And comments:

image

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We can do the same analysis for the UK, where the shift seems to have occurred around 1988. The mean for 1988 to 2016 is almost a full degree higher than the 1955 to…

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Inside Climate News caught with their hand in the Rockefeller cookie jar #ExxonKnew

Laughable nonsense indeed

Watts Up With That?

From the well funded corporate scumbags department.

Rockefellers Promised Access to Publisher of InsideClimate News, Emails Show

By Katie Brown

InsideClimate News (ICN) has insisted over and over that the Rockefeller Brothers Fund (RBF) and the Rockefeller Family Fund (RFF), which have been bankrolling the entire #ExxonKnew campaign, have absolutely no editorial authority over the stories they publish, including the series they released last year proclaiming that Exxon “knew” about climate change in the 1970s before climate scientists even understood the data. This is something the media has largely swallowed without scrutiny.

But newly released emails from Hillary Clinton’s campaign raise serious questions about the veracity of these claims. In one telling email, Michael Northrop of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund (rbf.org) sends Clinton campaign chair John Podesta an article by #ExxonKnew activist Naomi Oreskes with the subject line:

sasson-email

ICN publisher David Sassoon, who just happens to be a former

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